Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on July 31 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical after the plum-rain season. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to limited diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with any late-day showers exerting only marginal influence on minimum readings. Historical July climatology reinforces this narrow band, where nighttime temperatures rarely deviate below 26°C without a stronger frontal passage or increased cloud cover—conditions not currently projected. The closely matched market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflect traders weighting these stable atmospheric patterns and the short time horizon until resolution, while lower-probability outcomes account for possible model spread in wind or precipitation timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
28°C 55%
27°C 15%
29°C 8%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
55%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 15%
29°C 8%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$199 Vol.
3%
26°C
$643 Vol.
5%
27°C
$872 Vol.
15%
28°C
$2,793 Vol.
55%
29°C
$78 Vol.
8%
30°C
$65 Vol.
2%
31°C
$81 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on July 31 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical after the plum-rain season. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to limited diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with any late-day showers exerting only marginal influence on minimum readings. Historical July climatology reinforces this narrow band, where nighttime temperatures rarely deviate below 26°C without a stronger frontal passage or increased cloud cover—conditions not currently projected. The closely matched market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflect traders weighting these stable atmospheric patterns and the short time horizon until resolution, while lower-probability outcomes account for possible model spread in wind or precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,119Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on July 31 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical after the plum-rain season. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to limited diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with any late-day showers exerting only marginal influence on minimum readings. Historical July climatology reinforces this narrow band, where nighttime temperatures rarely deviate below 26°C without a stronger frontal passage or increased cloud cover—conditions not currently projected. The closely matched market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflect traders weighting these stable atmospheric patterns and the short time horizon until resolution, while lower-probability outcomes account for possible model spread in wind or precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,119Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on July 31 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical after the plum-rain season. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to limited diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with any late-day showers exerting only marginal influence on minimum readings. Historical July climatology reinforces this narrow band, where nighttime temperatures rarely deviate below 26°C without a stronger frontal passage or increased cloud cover—conditions not currently projected. The closely matched market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflect traders weighting these stable atmospheric patterns and the short time horizon until resolution, while lower-probability outcomes account for possible model spread in wind or precipitation timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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