The sustained 93% trader consensus against a McDonald’s announcement in Cuba by year-end stems primarily from the U.S. embargo and the Trump administration’s intensified sanctions regime. Recent designations in August 2026 targeting Cuban state-owned mining, construction, and energy entities, alongside earlier actions against fuel importers and military-linked firms, reinforce legal barriers that block U.S. companies from commercial operations on the island. Cuba’s June 2026 reforms permitting foreign franchises have not altered these restrictions, and Cuban officials have offered only general statements on investment conditions without addressing U.S. licensing requirements. With no executive actions easing sanctions or granting OFAC approvals, the policy environment leaves little room for a verifiable McDonald’s announcement before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
7% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The sustained 93% trader consensus against a McDonald’s announcement in Cuba by year-end stems primarily from the U.S. embargo and the Trump administration’s intensified sanctions regime. Recent designations in August 2026 targeting Cuban state-owned mining, construction, and energy entities, alongside earlier actions against fuel importers and military-linked firms, reinforce legal barriers that block U.S. companies from commercial operations on the island. Cuba’s June 2026 reforms permitting foreign franchises have not altered these restrictions, and Cuban officials have offered only general statements on investment conditions without addressing U.S. licensing requirements. With no executive actions easing sanctions or granting OFAC approvals, the policy environment leaves little room for a verifiable McDonald’s announcement before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,400Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The sustained 93% trader consensus against a McDonald’s announcement in Cuba by year-end stems primarily from the U.S. embargo and the Trump administration’s intensified sanctions regime. Recent designations in August 2026 targeting Cuban state-owned mining, construction, and energy entities, alongside earlier actions against fuel importers and military-linked firms, reinforce legal barriers that block U.S. companies from commercial operations on the island. Cuba’s June 2026 reforms permitting foreign franchises have not altered these restrictions, and Cuban officials have offered only general statements on investment conditions without addressing U.S. licensing requirements. With no executive actions easing sanctions or granting OFAC approvals, the policy environment leaves little room for a verifiable McDonald’s announcement before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,400Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The sustained 93% trader consensus against a McDonald’s announcement in Cuba by year-end stems primarily from the U.S. embargo and the Trump administration’s intensified sanctions regime. Recent designations in August 2026 targeting Cuban state-owned mining, construction, and energy entities, alongside earlier actions against fuel importers and military-linked firms, reinforce legal barriers that block U.S. companies from commercial operations on the island. Cuba’s June 2026 reforms permitting foreign franchises have not altered these restrictions, and Cuban officials have offered only general statements on investment conditions without addressing U.S. licensing requirements. With no executive actions easing sanctions or granting OFAC approvals, the policy environment leaves little room for a verifiable McDonald’s announcement before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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