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icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

20% peluang
Polymarket

$247,981 Vol.

20% peluang
Polymarket

$247,981 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Miguel Díaz-Canel has publicly reaffirmed his commitment to remain in office through recent interviews and official statements, including April 2026 remarks on U.S. networks where he stated that stepping down is not part of Cuba’s political vocabulary and rejected external demands for leadership change. His current term extends to 2028 under the Communist Party framework, with no scheduled party congress, internal succession signals, or documented fractures in the ruling structures that would enable an early exit by late June. U.S. diplomatic pressure has prompted defiant Cuban responses emphasizing sovereignty and dialogue without preconditions, while primary sources show no verifiable moves toward resignation or removal. These factors underpin trader consensus that an abrupt departure remains improbable before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$247,981
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Miguel Díaz-Canel has publicly reaffirmed his commitment to remain in office through recent interviews and official statements, including April 2026 remarks on U.S. networks where he stated that stepping down is not part of Cuba’s political vocabulary and rejected external demands for leadership change. His current term extends to 2028 under the Communist Party framework, with no scheduled party congress, internal succession signals, or documented fractures in the ruling structures that would enable an early exit by late June. U.S. diplomatic pressure has prompted defiant Cuban responses emphasizing sovereignty and dialogue without preconditions, while primary sources show no verifiable moves toward resignation or removal. These factors underpin trader consensus that an abrupt departure remains improbable before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$247,981
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 20% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 20¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 20% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $248K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?" adalah 20% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 20% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.