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Politik·Primer

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 65%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
BARU

Mike Bouchard 65%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
BARU

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 Vol.

65%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 Vol.

19%

Casey Armitage

$2,338 Vol.

7%

Justin Kirk

$847 Vol.

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,222
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,222
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mike Bouchard" di 65%, diikuti oleh "Robert Lulgjuraj" di 43%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 65¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 18, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Mike Bouchard" di 65%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Robert Lulgjuraj" di 43%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.