Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeated Republican Mike Rogers by roughly seven points in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, with El-Sayed receiving about 52.5 percent of the vote to Rogers’ 45.5 percent after more than 96 percent of ballots were counted. The Associated Press and other outlets called the race for El-Sayed early on November 4, and El-Sayed declared victory shortly after polls closed. Rogers issued a statement later that day thanking supporters and highlighting issues such as literacy and antisemitism but did not explicitly concede or contact the winner. Michigan’s certification process, including county canvassing and state board review, extends into mid-November, though the margin leaves little procedural uncertainty. Traders assessing concession timing focus on Rogers’ public statements, any remaining vote-count developments, and historical patterns for defeated candidates in non-competitive races.