**Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad, who easily won his August 11 primary, faces Democratic nominee Jake Johnson in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District on November 3.** The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2018, with Finstad securing 58.5% in 2024. A February 2026 poll showed the race nearly tied at 44-41%, reflecting the district’s competitive elements despite its southern Minnesota rural and agricultural base. National midterm dynamics, where the president’s party typically loses ground, add pressure, yet Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 63.5% for Republicans versus 28% for Democrats captures the incumbent’s structural edge and historical performance while incorporating uncertainty from broader electoral headwinds and limited recent polling. No major late developments have shifted the outlook since the primaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$24,902 Vol.
$24,902 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
28%
$24,902 Vol.
$24,902 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,360 Vol.
64%
Democratic Party
$14,541 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad, who easily won his August 11 primary, faces Democratic nominee Jake Johnson in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District on November 3.** The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2018, with Finstad securing 58.5% in 2024. A February 2026 poll showed the race nearly tied at 44-41%, reflecting the district’s competitive elements despite its southern Minnesota rural and agricultural base.
National midterm dynamics, where the president’s party typically loses ground, add pressure, yet Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 63.5% for Republicans versus 28% for Democrats captures the incumbent’s structural edge and historical performance while incorporating uncertainty from broader electoral headwinds and limited recent polling. No major late developments have shifted the outlook since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,902Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad, who easily won his August 11 primary, faces Democratic nominee Jake Johnson in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District on November 3.** The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2018, with Finstad securing 58.5% in 2024. A February 2026 poll showed the race nearly tied at 44-41%, reflecting the district’s competitive elements despite its southern Minnesota rural and agricultural base.
National midterm dynamics, where the president’s party typically loses ground, add pressure, yet Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 63.5% for Republicans versus 28% for Democrats captures the incumbent’s structural edge and historical performance while incorporating uncertainty from broader electoral headwinds and limited recent polling. No major late developments have shifted the outlook since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,902Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad, who easily won his August 11 primary, faces Democratic nominee Jake Johnson in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District on November 3.** The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2018, with Finstad securing 58.5% in 2024. A February 2026 poll showed the race nearly tied at 44-41%, reflecting the district’s competitive elements despite its southern Minnesota rural and agricultural base. National midterm dynamics, where the president’s party typically loses ground, add pressure, yet Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 63.5% for Republicans versus 28% for Democrats captures the incumbent’s structural edge and historical performance while incorporating uncertainty from broader electoral headwinds and limited recent polling. No major late developments have shifted the outlook since the primaries.
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