Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Kelly’s prior reelection margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage this close to election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$114,918 Vol.
$114,918 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
$114,918 Vol.
$114,918 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$82,923 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$31,995 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Kelly’s prior reelection margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$114,918Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Kelly’s prior reelection margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$114,918Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Kelly’s prior reelection margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Johnson secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, an unforeseen scandal, or sharply elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage this close to election day.
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