Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRhode Island Governor Election Winner
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat 94%
Republican 4.1%
Independent 1.4%
$50,984 Vol.
$50,984 Vol.

Democrat
94%

Republican
4%

Independent
1%
Democrat 94%
Republican 4.1%
Independent 1.4%
$50,984 Vol.
$50,984 Vol.

Democrat
94%

Republican
4%

Independent
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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