Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$9,087 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,360Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,360Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
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