Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+40 partisan voting index and roughly 80 percent Democratic voter registration. The retirement of longtime incumbent Dwight Evans has opened the seat, with the May 19 primary set to determine the Democratic nominee among several candidates. All major race raters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance of 88 percent or more for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a significant late-stage development affecting the nominee, though the structural advantages make such an outcome highly improbable under current conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$13,844 Vol.
$13,844 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$13,844 Vol.
$13,844 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,942 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,902 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+40 partisan voting index and roughly 80 percent Democratic voter registration. The retirement of longtime incumbent Dwight Evans has opened the seat, with the May 19 primary set to determine the Democratic nominee among several candidates. All major race raters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance of 88 percent or more for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a significant late-stage development affecting the nominee, though the structural advantages make such an outcome highly improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,844Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+40 partisan voting index and roughly 80 percent Democratic voter registration. The retirement of longtime incumbent Dwight Evans has opened the seat, with the May 19 primary set to determine the Democratic nominee among several candidates. All major race raters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance of 88 percent or more for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a significant late-stage development affecting the nominee, though the structural advantages make such an outcome highly improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,844Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+40 partisan voting index and roughly 80 percent Democratic voter registration. The retirement of longtime incumbent Dwight Evans has opened the seat, with the May 19 primary set to determine the Democratic nominee among several candidates. All major race raters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance of 88 percent or more for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or a significant late-stage development affecting the nominee, though the structural advantages make such an outcome highly improbable under current conditions.
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