New Jersey's 3rd congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the party securing victory in 2024 by an eight-point margin behind nominee Herb Conaway. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 90 percent probability of holding the seat in the 2026 election, reflecting the district's partisan composition across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties, Conaway's incumbency advantage, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challengers or major polling shifts to date. National midterm dynamics and early fundraising patterns have yet to alter this assessment, though candidate filing deadlines and primary contests later this year could introduce new variables before November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$60 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$141 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 3rd congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the party securing victory in 2024 by an eight-point margin behind nominee Herb Conaway. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 90 percent probability of holding the seat in the 2026 election, reflecting the district's partisan composition across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties, Conaway's incumbency advantage, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challengers or major polling shifts to date. National midterm dynamics and early fundraising patterns have yet to alter this assessment, though candidate filing deadlines and primary contests later this year could introduce new variables before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$201Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 3rd congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the party securing victory in 2024 by an eight-point margin behind nominee Herb Conaway. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 90 percent probability of holding the seat in the 2026 election, reflecting the district's partisan composition across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties, Conaway's incumbency advantage, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challengers or major polling shifts to date. National midterm dynamics and early fundraising patterns have yet to alter this assessment, though candidate filing deadlines and primary contests later this year could introduce new variables before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$201Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 3rd congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the party securing victory in 2024 by an eight-point margin behind nominee Herb Conaway. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 90 percent probability of holding the seat in the 2026 election, reflecting the district's partisan composition across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties, Conaway's incumbency advantage, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challengers or major polling shifts to date. National midterm dynamics and early fundraising patterns have yet to alter this assessment, though candidate filing deadlines and primary contests later this year could introduce new variables before November.
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