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Politik·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Mac Deford 44%

Matt Fulmer 1.2%

Francina Dantzler <1%

Max Diaz <1%

Polymarket

$7,126 Vol.

Mac Deford 44%

Matt Fulmer 1.2%

Francina Dantzler <1%

Max Diaz <1%

Polymarket

$7,126 Vol.

Mac Deford

$976 Vol.

44%

Matt Fulmer

$1,815 Vol.

1%

Francina Dantzler

$735 Vol.

1%

Max Diaz

$1,271 Vol.

8%

Mayra Rivera-Vazquez

$613 Vol.

<1%

Ben Frasier

$846 Vol.

<1%

Nancy Lacore

$872 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced to the June 23 runoff after finishing first and second in the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with neither reaching a majority. Their narrow polling margins and similar profiles as military veterans—Lacore as a retired three-star Navy admiral and former Navy Reserve chief, Deford as a Coast Guard veteran and former Hilton Head general counsel who ran in the 2024 primary—have kept trader probabilities tightly matched near 44 percent each. Lower-polling candidates such as Max Diaz split the remaining vote in the initial round, while factors including name recognition from Lacore’s service record, Deford’s prior district experience, local Lowcountry issues like redistricting, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still separate the contenders before the runoff concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,126
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced to the June 23 runoff after finishing first and second in the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with neither reaching a majority. Their narrow polling margins and similar profiles as military veterans—Lacore as a retired three-star Navy admiral and former Navy Reserve chief, Deford as a Coast Guard veteran and former Hilton Head general counsel who ran in the 2024 primary—have kept trader probabilities tightly matched near 44 percent each. Lower-polling candidates such as Max Diaz split the remaining vote in the initial round, while factors including name recognition from Lacore’s service record, Deford’s prior district experience, local Lowcountry issues like redistricting, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still separate the contenders before the runoff concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,126
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nancy Lacore" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Mac Deford" di 44%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Nancy Lacore" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mac Deford" di 44%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.