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Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$3,312 Vol.

88%

David Trone

$2,632 Vol.

12%

Daniel Krakower

$1,502 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,662 Vol.

<1%

Kiambo White

$2,925 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$1,822 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,757 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,428 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney, the incumbent representative for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, holds an 88% implied probability in the Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2026, while former Rep. David Trone sits at 11.5%.** Delaney succeeded Trone after his unsuccessful 2024 Senate bid and has maintained a consistent polling lead—recent surveys show her ahead by double digits with high approval ratings—even as Trone has self-funded tens of millions in advertising and loans. Party-aligned groups such as EMILYs List have backed Delaney, and she has secured endorsements from state legislators including Delegate Joe Vogel. Trone’s heavy spending has not narrowed the gap, reflecting voter preference for the sitting member’s record on district priorities amid a short campaign window. The remaining candidates register negligible support and lack comparable fundraising or name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney, the incumbent representative for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, holds an 88% implied probability in the Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2026, while former Rep. David Trone sits at 11.5%.** Delaney succeeded Trone after his unsuccessful 2024 Senate bid and has maintained a consistent polling lead—recent surveys show her ahead by double digits with high approval ratings—even as Trone has self-funded tens of millions in advertising and loans. Party-aligned groups such as EMILYs List have backed Delaney, and she has secured endorsements from state legislators including Delegate Joe Vogel. Trone’s heavy spending has not narrowed the gap, reflecting voter preference for the sitting member’s record on district priorities amid a short campaign window. The remaining candidates register negligible support and lack comparable fundraising or name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "April McClain Delaney" di 88%, diikuti oleh "David Trone" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $17K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 19, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "April McClain Delaney" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "David Trone" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.