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UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

icon for UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

BARU
Polymarket
BARU

Celeste Maloy

$0 Vol.

75%

Phil Lyman

$2 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Celeste Maloy" di 75%, diikuti oleh "Phil Lyman" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 75¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 12, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner ," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " adalah "Celeste Maloy" di 75%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Phil Lyman" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.