Trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes a 54.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his top name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign and endorsements like Collective PAC in April, positioning him as the broad-appeal frontrunner in a crowded field. State Rep. Francesca Hong follows at 34.4%, buoyed by progressive support including Rep. Ilhan Omar's April nod and early leads among decided voters in the March Marquette poll, but recent scrutiny over her donation to a brewery owner investigated for anti-Trump posts has stalled her momentum. High undecided rates persist, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 7.5% and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley at 4.0%; upcoming forums and fundraising reports could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMandela Barnes 54%
Francesca Hong 33.3%
Sara Rodriguez 8%
David Crowley 3.4%
$55,366 Vol.
$55,366 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
54%
Francesca Hong
33%
Sara Rodriguez
8%
David Crowley
3%
Zachary Roper
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 54%
Francesca Hong 33.3%
Sara Rodriguez 8%
David Crowley 3.4%
$55,366 Vol.
$55,366 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
54%
Francesca Hong
33%
Sara Rodriguez
8%
David Crowley
3%
Zachary Roper
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes a 54.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his top name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign and endorsements like Collective PAC in April, positioning him as the broad-appeal frontrunner in a crowded field. State Rep. Francesca Hong follows at 34.4%, buoyed by progressive support including Rep. Ilhan Omar's April nod and early leads among decided voters in the March Marquette poll, but recent scrutiny over her donation to a brewery owner investigated for anti-Trump posts has stalled her momentum. High undecided rates persist, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 7.5% and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley at 4.0%; upcoming forums and fundraising reports could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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