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Pemilihan Umum·Trump

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Trump

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 38%

Jack Schlossberg 15%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,369 Vol.

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 38%

Jack Schlossberg 15%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,369 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$17,180 Vol.

45%

Alex Bores

$8,107 Vol.

38%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,122 Vol.

17%

Cameron Kasky

$5,937 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,666 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,388 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,094 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,244 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,491 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,744 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,214 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,865 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,331 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,142 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,337 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,721 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District to succeed retiring Representative Jerry Nadler remains tightly contested ahead of the June 23 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a three-way race among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores alongside Jack Schlossberg. Lasher holds an edge from Nadler’s early endorsement and heavy outside spending by a Bloomberg-aligned super PAC, while Bores attracts support from certain technology PACs focused on artificial intelligence policy. Schlossberg’s name recognition has sustained third-place positioning despite limited elected experience. Recent forums and targeted advertising underscore geographic divides between Upper West Side and Upper East Side voters without shifting the balance in available surveys, leaving room for further endorsements or spending patterns to influence final turnout among Democratic primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,369
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District to succeed retiring Representative Jerry Nadler remains tightly contested ahead of the June 23 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a three-way race among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores alongside Jack Schlossberg. Lasher holds an edge from Nadler’s early endorsement and heavy outside spending by a Bloomberg-aligned super PAC, while Bores attracts support from certain technology PACs focused on artificial intelligence policy. Schlossberg’s name recognition has sustained third-place positioning despite limited elected experience. Recent forums and targeted advertising underscore geographic divides between Upper West Side and Upper East Side voters without shifting the balance in available surveys, leaving room for further endorsements or spending patterns to influence final turnout among Democratic primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,369
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 19 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Micah Lasher" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Alex Bores" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $362.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 21, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 19 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Micah Lasher" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Alex Bores" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.