SpaceX shares currently trade near $1.85–1.9 trillion market cap following its June 2026 IPO at roughly $1.77 trillion, with post-listing volatility reflecting rich multiples on 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and ongoing losses tied to AI infrastructure spending. Trader sentiment for the October 2026 endpoint remains closely divided because near-term catalysts—including Q3 earnings, Starlink subscriber trends, and any AI contract expansions—could shift valuation between 50–70x sales or compress further on margin pressure. High implied volatility and sensitivity to broader tech multiples and interest-rate expectations create balanced probabilities across the $1.5–2.25 trillion bands, underscoring uncertainty in growth delivery over the next two months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.00-$2.25T 25%
$1.75-$2.00T 23%
$1.50-$1.75T 21%
$2.25T+ 17%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
11%
$1.50-$1.75T
21%
$1.75-$2.00T
23%
$2.00-$2.25T
25%
$2.25T+
17%
$2.00-$2.25T 25%
$1.75-$2.00T 23%
$1.50-$1.75T 21%
$2.25T+ 17%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$0 Vol.
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
11%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Vol.
21%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
23%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
25%
$2.25T+
$848 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX shares currently trade near $1.85–1.9 trillion market cap following its June 2026 IPO at roughly $1.77 trillion, with post-listing volatility reflecting rich multiples on 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and ongoing losses tied to AI infrastructure spending. Trader sentiment for the October 2026 endpoint remains closely divided because near-term catalysts—including Q3 earnings, Starlink subscriber trends, and any AI contract expansions—could shift valuation between 50–70x sales or compress further on margin pressure. High implied volatility and sensitivity to broader tech multiples and interest-rate expectations create balanced probabilities across the $1.5–2.25 trillion bands, underscoring uncertainty in growth delivery over the next two months.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$848Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX shares currently trade near $1.85–1.9 trillion market cap following its June 2026 IPO at roughly $1.77 trillion, with post-listing volatility reflecting rich multiples on 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and ongoing losses tied to AI infrastructure spending. Trader sentiment for the October 2026 endpoint remains closely divided because near-term catalysts—including Q3 earnings, Starlink subscriber trends, and any AI contract expansions—could shift valuation between 50–70x sales or compress further on margin pressure. High implied volatility and sensitivity to broader tech multiples and interest-rate expectations create balanced probabilities across the $1.5–2.25 trillion bands, underscoring uncertainty in growth delivery over the next two months.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$848Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX shares currently trade near $1.85–1.9 trillion market cap following its June 2026 IPO at roughly $1.77 trillion, with post-listing volatility reflecting rich multiples on 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and ongoing losses tied to AI infrastructure spending. Trader sentiment for the October 2026 endpoint remains closely divided because near-term catalysts—including Q3 earnings, Starlink subscriber trends, and any AI contract expansions—could shift valuation between 50–70x sales or compress further on margin pressure. High implied volatility and sensitivity to broader tech multiples and interest-rate expectations create balanced probabilities across the $1.5–2.25 trillion bands, underscoring uncertainty in growth delivery over the next two months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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