Recent polls for the November 29 general election project EH Bildu as the leading force in the Basque Country's 18 congressional seats, with a late-October Sociométrica survey tying the party with PSOE at six deputies each while placing PNV at four and PP at two. This positioning follows earlier estimates showing Bildu gaining one or more seats relative to 2023 results, particularly in Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa, amid stable support for Basque nationalist options and a fragmented left. Provisional candidate lists published in the BOE on October 28 confirm active contests involving EH Bildu, PNV, PSOE, PP, and smaller groups, with no major shifts reported in the final weeks before voting. These local trends contrast with national polling averages favoring PP, driving trader consensus on EH Bildu as the most probable Basque winner while assigning lower probabilities to PSOE, PNV, and others.