OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,135 Vol.
$28,135 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Pasar Dibuka: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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