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Keuangan·Bisnis

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Keuangan·Bisnis

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$91,213 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$91,213 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$16,666 Vol.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$30,259 Vol.

27%

Allegiant

$19,970 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$7,095 Vol.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,223 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have driven a roughly $1.2 billion combined increase across major U.S. carriers in Q1 2026, offsetting record revenues and pressuring margins for leveraged operators. American Airlines reported a $382 million GAAP net loss despite $13.9 billion in quarterly revenue and reduced total debt to $34.7 billion, while analysts assign JetBlue over 75 percent bankruptcy odds by 2027 and Frontier 45-50 percent, citing high lease obligations and limited premium revenue. Delta and United posted stronger free cash flow and earnings guidance amid international growth, illustrating the widening gap between network carriers with diversified income and ultra-low-cost models exposed to fuel volatility. Traders are monitoring Q2 earnings releases and crude oil price trajectories for signs of further distress or stabilization through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,213
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have driven a roughly $1.2 billion combined increase across major U.S. carriers in Q1 2026, offsetting record revenues and pressuring margins for leveraged operators. American Airlines reported a $382 million GAAP net loss despite $13.9 billion in quarterly revenue and reduced total debt to $34.7 billion, while analysts assign JetBlue over 75 percent bankruptcy odds by 2027 and Frontier 45-50 percent, citing high lease obligations and limited premium revenue. Delta and United posted stronger free cash flow and earnings guidance amid international growth, illustrating the widening gap between network carriers with diversified income and ultra-low-cost models exposed to fuel volatility. Traders are monitoring Q2 earnings releases and crude oil price trajectories for signs of further distress or stabilization through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,213
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Frontier Airlines" di 27%, diikuti oleh "JetBlue" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $91.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" adalah "Frontier Airlines" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "JetBlue" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.