Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, continues to anchor the 89.5% market-implied odds by holding top positions on LMSYS Chatbot Arena under style control and across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond. The large language model’s advantages in agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, and instruction-following have sustained developer and enterprise preference over rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro variants trail at 9.5% amid competitive but lower Elo scores and throughput-focused updates, while OpenAI’s recent GPT-5.5 iterations sit at just 1.1% after narrower gains in speed and reduced hallucinations. With no major model launches or benchmark shifts expected before month-end, traders see limited catalysts capable of altering the current hierarchy in the final two weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 90%
Google 10%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$608,776 Vol.
$608,776 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
90%
10%
OpenAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 90%
Google 10%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$608,776 Vol.
$608,776 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$58,979 Vol.
90%
$65,460 Vol.
10%
OpenAI
$37,841 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$61,147 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$41,764 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$52,617 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$25,554 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$34,097 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$38,952 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$39,087 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$35,580 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$25,718 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$29,179 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$29,953 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$32,847 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, continues to anchor the 89.5% market-implied odds by holding top positions on LMSYS Chatbot Arena under style control and across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond. The large language model’s advantages in agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, and instruction-following have sustained developer and enterprise preference over rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro variants trail at 9.5% amid competitive but lower Elo scores and throughput-focused updates, while OpenAI’s recent GPT-5.5 iterations sit at just 1.1% after narrower gains in speed and reduced hallucinations. With no major model launches or benchmark shifts expected before month-end, traders see limited catalysts capable of altering the current hierarchy in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$608,776Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, continues to anchor the 89.5% market-implied odds by holding top positions on LMSYS Chatbot Arena under style control and across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond. The large language model’s advantages in agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, and instruction-following have sustained developer and enterprise preference over rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro variants trail at 9.5% amid competitive but lower Elo scores and throughput-focused updates, while OpenAI’s recent GPT-5.5 iterations sit at just 1.1% after narrower gains in speed and reduced hallucinations. With no major model launches or benchmark shifts expected before month-end, traders see limited catalysts capable of altering the current hierarchy in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$608,776Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, released in mid-April 2026, continues to anchor the 89.5% market-implied odds by holding top positions on LMSYS Chatbot Arena under style control and across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond. The large language model’s advantages in agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, and instruction-following have sustained developer and enterprise preference over rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro variants trail at 9.5% amid competitive but lower Elo scores and throughput-focused updates, while OpenAI’s recent GPT-5.5 iterations sit at just 1.1% after narrower gains in speed and reduced hallucinations. With no major model launches or benchmark shifts expected before month-end, traders see limited catalysts capable of altering the current hierarchy in the final two weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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