Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Vol.
$9,013,776 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Vol.
$9,013,776 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$678,720 Vol.
91%
$621,639 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$768,530 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$560,969 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$530,192 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$590,148 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$671,981 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,147 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,013,776Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$9,013,776Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly the Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models, have driven the overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds that its large language model will rank highest by end of May. Traders point to sustained leadership on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench, superior long-context performance, and natural prose quality that outpace competitors like Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro or OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants. These capabilities reflect verified gains in reasoning depth and tool-use reliability rather than marketing claims. A late-May surprise benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely before the resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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