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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Olahraga·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ante Delija 28.3%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.1%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ante Delija 28.3%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.1%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$3,992 Vol.

42%

Ante Delija

$111 Vol.

28%

Ciryl Gane

$3,700 Vol.

28%

Serghei Spivac

$101 Vol.

10%

Derrick Lewis

$9,144 Vol.

7%

Jailton Almeida

$113 Vol.

5%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$47,791 Vol.

5%

Alexander Volkov

$26,639 Vol.

2%

Marcin Tybura

$166,213 Vol.

1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$116 Vol.

18%

Rizvan Kuniev

$19 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,130 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$19 Vol.

29%

Josh Hokit

$19 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,110
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,110
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Aspinall" di 42%, diikuti oleh "Ante Delija" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $324.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah "Tom Aspinall" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ante Delija" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.