Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the premium “iPhone Ultra,” remains on track for a September 2026 unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, with shipments likely following in October or the fourth quarter. Recent supply-chain updates confirm mass production has begun at Foxconn, component shipments are underway, and yields have improved enough to support initial volumes of 7–10 million units. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman note Apple is repeating its iPhone X-style staggered rollout due to manufacturing complexity around the book-style hinge and large 7.8-inch inner display, yet no material delays have materialized. Apple’s parallel development of second- and third-generation foldables for 2027–2028 further signals commitment to the category, underpinning traders’ strong consensus around an 82% implied probability of a pre-2027 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui85% peluang
$282,277 Vol.
$282,277 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
85% peluang
$282,277 Vol.
$282,277 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the premium “iPhone Ultra,” remains on track for a September 2026 unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, with shipments likely following in October or the fourth quarter. Recent supply-chain updates confirm mass production has begun at Foxconn, component shipments are underway, and yields have improved enough to support initial volumes of 7–10 million units. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman note Apple is repeating its iPhone X-style staggered rollout due to manufacturing complexity around the book-style hinge and large 7.8-inch inner display, yet no material delays have materialized. Apple’s parallel development of second- and third-generation foldables for 2027–2028 further signals commitment to the category, underpinning traders’ strong consensus around an 82% implied probability of a pre-2027 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$282,277Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the premium “iPhone Ultra,” remains on track for a September 2026 unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, with shipments likely following in October or the fourth quarter. Recent supply-chain updates confirm mass production has begun at Foxconn, component shipments are underway, and yields have improved enough to support initial volumes of 7–10 million units. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman note Apple is repeating its iPhone X-style staggered rollout due to manufacturing complexity around the book-style hinge and large 7.8-inch inner display, yet no material delays have materialized. Apple’s parallel development of second- and third-generation foldables for 2027–2028 further signals commitment to the category, underpinning traders’ strong consensus around an 82% implied probability of a pre-2027 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$282,277Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the premium “iPhone Ultra,” remains on track for a September 2026 unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, with shipments likely following in October or the fourth quarter. Recent supply-chain updates confirm mass production has begun at Foxconn, component shipments are underway, and yields have improved enough to support initial volumes of 7–10 million units. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman note Apple is repeating its iPhone X-style staggered rollout due to manufacturing complexity around the book-style hinge and large 7.8-inch inner display, yet no material delays have materialized. Apple’s parallel development of second- and third-generation foldables for 2027–2028 further signals commitment to the category, underpinning traders’ strong consensus around an 82% implied probability of a pre-2027 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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