Nevada Question 6, the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion before fetal viability with exceptions to protect the pregnant patient's life or health, secured 64% support in 2024 and now requires only a second affirmative vote on November 3, 2026, to take effect under state rules. Recent polling shows consistent 66-69% backing among likely voters, while organized opposition has raised minimal funds and mounted no significant campaign. These factors, combined with the measure's alignment to Nevada's existing statutory framework allowing procedures up to roughly 24 weeks, underpin trader consensus near 99% for passage. Late shifts could still occur from unusually low turnout among supportive demographics or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before Election Day.