US-Iran tensions escalated into direct military confrontation in February 2026 with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets amid nuclear concerns and regional proxy dynamics. A June memorandum of understanding temporarily eased hostilities by lifting blockades on the Strait of Hormuz and initiating nuclear talks, yet renewed strikes and shipping attacks in July fractured the truce, leaving active operations ongoing into August. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional war declaration despite sustained engagement, with key variables including stalled diplomatic channels, US munitions constraints, Iranian leadership transitions, and potential upcoming negotiations or escalation triggers around energy infrastructure and maritime access.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
$7,764,533 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
3%
$7,764,533 Vol.
31 Desember
$791,899 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions escalated into direct military confrontation in February 2026 with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets amid nuclear concerns and regional proxy dynamics. A June memorandum of understanding temporarily eased hostilities by lifting blockades on the Strait of Hormuz and initiating nuclear talks, yet renewed strikes and shipping attacks in July fractured the truce, leaving active operations ongoing into August. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional war declaration despite sustained engagement, with key variables including stalled diplomatic channels, US munitions constraints, Iranian leadership transitions, and potential upcoming negotiations or escalation triggers around energy infrastructure and maritime access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,764,533Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions escalated into direct military confrontation in February 2026 with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets amid nuclear concerns and regional proxy dynamics. A June memorandum of understanding temporarily eased hostilities by lifting blockades on the Strait of Hormuz and initiating nuclear talks, yet renewed strikes and shipping attacks in July fractured the truce, leaving active operations ongoing into August. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional war declaration despite sustained engagement, with key variables including stalled diplomatic channels, US munitions constraints, Iranian leadership transitions, and potential upcoming negotiations or escalation triggers around energy infrastructure and maritime access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,764,533Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran tensions escalated into direct military confrontation in February 2026 with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets amid nuclear concerns and regional proxy dynamics. A June memorandum of understanding temporarily eased hostilities by lifting blockades on the Strait of Hormuz and initiating nuclear talks, yet renewed strikes and shipping attacks in July fractured the truce, leaving active operations ongoing into August. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional war declaration despite sustained engagement, with key variables including stalled diplomatic channels, US munitions constraints, Iranian leadership transitions, and potential upcoming negotiations or escalation triggers around energy infrastructure and maritime access.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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