Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
$7,823,443 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
3%
$7,823,443 Vol.
31 Desember
$850,809 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,823,443Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,823,443Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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