xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders on FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems across multiple tiers that tests advanced reasoning beyond standard evaluations like MATH or AIME. Grok 4 scored 12-14% in recent Epoch AI assessments, well behind GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-5.5 variants at 47-52%, while the March 2026 Grok 4.20 release introduced a multi-agent architecture with specialized math and logic agents plus a 2M-token context window. No major xAI announcements have disclosed new FrontierMath results since then, and the June 30 deadline leaves little room for a full model cycle. Traders are watching for rapid internal progress at xAI or any public benchmark updates that could close the gap before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$20,870 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$20,870 Vol.
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$5,197 Vol.
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$12,605 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders on FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems across multiple tiers that tests advanced reasoning beyond standard evaluations like MATH or AIME. Grok 4 scored 12-14% in recent Epoch AI assessments, well behind GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-5.5 variants at 47-52%, while the March 2026 Grok 4.20 release introduced a multi-agent architecture with specialized math and logic agents plus a 2M-token context window. No major xAI announcements have disclosed new FrontierMath results since then, and the June 30 deadline leaves little room for a full model cycle. Traders are watching for rapid internal progress at xAI or any public benchmark updates that could close the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$20,870Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders on FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems across multiple tiers that tests advanced reasoning beyond standard evaluations like MATH or AIME. Grok 4 scored 12-14% in recent Epoch AI assessments, well behind GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-5.5 variants at 47-52%, while the March 2026 Grok 4.20 release introduced a multi-agent architecture with specialized math and logic agents plus a 2M-token context window. No major xAI announcements have disclosed new FrontierMath results since then, and the June 30 deadline leaves little room for a full model cycle. Traders are watching for rapid internal progress at xAI or any public benchmark updates that could close the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders on FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems across multiple tiers that tests advanced reasoning beyond standard evaluations like MATH or AIME. Grok 4 scored 12-14% in recent Epoch AI assessments, well behind GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-5.5 variants at 47-52%, while the March 2026 Grok 4.20 release introduced a multi-agent architecture with specialized math and logic agents plus a 2M-token context window. No major xAI announcements have disclosed new FrontierMath results since then, and the June 30 deadline leaves little room for a full model cycle. Traders are watching for rapid internal progress at xAI or any public benchmark updates that could close the gap before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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