The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 mag 2026
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31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
Volume
$8,695Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,695Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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