Recent private funding rounds at valuations exceeding $900 billion have solidified trader expectations for an Anthropic IPO at a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s Series G raise of $30 billion in February at $380 billion post-money, followed by inbound offers for another $30 billion-plus round, reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid scaling of compute infrastructure through partnerships with Amazon and Google. This momentum, alongside competitive positioning against OpenAI and credible reports of an October 2026 listing target, drives the strong 88% implied probability for the highest bracket while the modest 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for possible regulatory or market delays.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica (scaglioni inferiori)
600Mrd+ 88%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 11%
400–600 miliardi 1.6%
300–400 miliardi <1%
$298,154 Vol.
$298,154 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
2%
600Mrd+
88%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
11%
600Mrd+ 88%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 11%
400–600 miliardi 1.6%
300–400 miliardi <1%
$298,154 Vol.
$298,154 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
2%
600Mrd+
88%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
11%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent private funding rounds at valuations exceeding $900 billion have solidified trader expectations for an Anthropic IPO at a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s Series G raise of $30 billion in February at $380 billion post-money, followed by inbound offers for another $30 billion-plus round, reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid scaling of compute infrastructure through partnerships with Amazon and Google. This momentum, alongside competitive positioning against OpenAI and credible reports of an October 2026 listing target, drives the strong 88% implied probability for the highest bracket while the modest 11% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for possible regulatory or market delays.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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