Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21 primary against challenger Kai Newkirk and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November 3 general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The seat, rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and holding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, has favored the Democratic nominee in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection by roughly seven points. Trader pricing in the 90% range for the Democratic outcome aligns with this district composition, incumbency advantage, and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
AZ-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$25,728 Vol.
$25,728 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$25,728 Vol.
$25,728 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$19,228 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$6,499 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21 primary against challenger Kai Newkirk and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November 3 general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The seat, rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and holding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, has favored the Democratic nominee in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection by roughly seven points. Trader pricing in the 90% range for the Democratic outcome aligns with this district composition, incumbency advantage, and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$25,728Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21 primary against challenger Kai Newkirk and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November 3 general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The seat, rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and holding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, has favored the Democratic nominee in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection by roughly seven points. Trader pricing in the 90% range for the Democratic outcome aligns with this district composition, incumbency advantage, and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,728Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21 primary against challenger Kai Newkirk and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in the November 3 general election for Arizona's 4th congressional district. The seat, rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and holding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, has favored the Democratic nominee in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection by roughly seven points. Trader pricing in the 90% range for the Democratic outcome aligns with this district composition, incumbency advantage, and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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