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icon for Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne
Politica·UK

Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne

icon for Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne
Politica·UK

Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

<10k

$1,082 Vol.

No

10k-20k

$16,258 Vol.

No

20k-30k

$11,654 Vol.

No

30k-40k

$18,749 Vol.

Sì

40k-50k

$6,431 Vol.

No

50k-60k

$1,753 Vol.

No

60mila+

$2,388 Vol.

No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,316
Data di fine
13 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,316
Data di fine
13 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30k-40k" a 100%, seguito da "<10k" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne" ha generato $58.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne" è "30k-40k" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "<10k" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni suppletive Clacton: affluenza alle urne" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.