Strong opening-day performance has anchored trader consensus around a 43-47 million domestic debut for *Disclosure Day*, reflected in its 84.5% implied probability. The Steven Spielberg-directed sci-fi thriller, starring Emily Blunt, posted a robust $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters—well above initial $35 million tracking—fueled by heavy IMAX and premium large-format play. Positive early reviews and the director’s return to original alien spectacle have sustained momentum against a crowded summer slate, though the $115 million budget plus marketing spend sets a high profitability bar. Limited probability assigned to sub-$43 million or $47 million-plus outcomes underscores the tight clustering around current forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
43-47m 85%
39-43m 14.5%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$309,419 Vol.
$309,419 Vol.
<35m
<1%
35-39m
<1%
39-43m
14%
43-47m
85%
>47m
<1%
43-47m 85%
39-43m 14.5%
>47m <1%
35-39m <1%
$309,419 Vol.
$309,419 Vol.
<35m
<1%
35-39m
<1%
39-43m
14%
43-47m
85%
>47m
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening-day performance has anchored trader consensus around a 43-47 million domestic debut for *Disclosure Day*, reflected in its 84.5% implied probability. The Steven Spielberg-directed sci-fi thriller, starring Emily Blunt, posted a robust $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters—well above initial $35 million tracking—fueled by heavy IMAX and premium large-format play. Positive early reviews and the director’s return to original alien spectacle have sustained momentum against a crowded summer slate, though the $115 million budget plus marketing spend sets a high profitability bar. Limited probability assigned to sub-$43 million or $47 million-plus outcomes underscores the tight clustering around current forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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