Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?
Tecnologia·AI

Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?

icon for Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?
Tecnologia·AI

Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?

Sì

9% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

Sì

9% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied odds reflect the early stage of the DOJ’s antitrust investigation into Nvidia’s December 2025 non-exclusive licensing deal with Groq, which transferred AI inference chip technology (including LPUs) and key talent such as founder Jonathan Ross without triggering formal merger review. Reported in mid-September 2026, the probe centers on whether the structure skirted Hart-Scott-Rodino requirements, yet sources indicate no findings of wrongdoing and emphasize that any potential fine would likely fall short of unwinding the transaction. Antitrust inquiries of this nature typically span well beyond a single calendar year, supporting trader consensus that enforcement action remains improbable before year-end. A credible scenario that could shift sentiment involves rapid escalation driven by congressional pressure or new evidence of competitive harm, though current timelines and precedents make such an outcome unlikely in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify.

A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed.

The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement.

If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$95
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.justice.gov/atr

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market-implied odds reflect the early stage of the DOJ’s antitrust investigation into Nvidia’s December 2025 non-exclusive licensing deal with Groq, which transferred AI inference chip technology (including LPUs) and key talent such as founder Jonathan Ross without triggering formal merger review. Reported in mid-September 2026, the probe centers on whether the structure skirted Hart-Scott-Rodino requirements, yet sources indicate no findings of wrongdoing and emphasize that any potential fine would likely fall short of unwinding the transaction. Antitrust inquiries of this nature typically span well beyond a single calendar year, supporting trader consensus that enforcement action remains improbable before year-end. A credible scenario that could shift sentiment involves rapid escalation driven by congressional pressure or new evidence of competitive harm, though current timelines and precedents make such an outcome unlikely in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify.

A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed.

The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement.

If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$95
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.justice.gov/atr

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for La capitalizzazione di mercato di Nvidia sarà compresa tra 5,50 e 6,00 trilioni di dollari alla fine del 2026?

La capitalizzazione di mercato di Nvidia sarà compresa tra 5,50 e 6,00 trilioni di dollari alla fine del 2026?

19%
Sì
icon for OpenAI accusata penalmente negli Stati Uniti nel 2026?

OpenAI accusata penalmente negli Stati Uniti nel 2026?

28%
Sì
icon for Il governo degli Stati Uniti vieta un modello di intelligenza artificiale open source nel 2026?

Il governo degli Stati Uniti vieta un modello di intelligenza artificiale open source nel 2026?

8%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Il DOJ multa Nvidia per l'accordo con Groq nel 2026?" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 9¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 9% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?" è "Il DOJ multa Nvidia per l'accordo con Groq nel 2026?" a solo 9%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il Dipartimento di Giustizia multa Nvidia per l'affare Groq nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.