Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. Data through early 2026 show an average of nearly 19 posts per day, with frequent late-night posting sessions and rapid bursts—such as dozens of posts or reposts in a single hour—pushing weekly totals well above baseline during periods of policy announcements, rallies, or political developments. Recent analyses confirm sustained output exceeding 500 posts in multiple months, reflecting the platform’s role as his primary direct channel to supporters and the media. This consistent tempo, punctuated by event-driven spikes, underpins the market’s strong consensus around elevated counts while leaving room for lower totals only if posting slows markedly.