Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors’ standings with 379 points to Ferrari’s 307 after consistent race and sprint results from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, giving traders a 53% implied probability for the Italian Grand Prix win. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through an aggressive upgrade program featuring dozens of aerodynamic and power-unit changes, most recently challenging at recent rounds and positioning Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton as strong Monza contenders. The 48% price on Ferrari reflects its home-circuit strength at the high-speed Monza layout alongside ongoing development momentum. Lower probabilities for Audi, Williams, and others mirror their mid-pack points hauls and limited recent pace gains, leaving the top two teams’ form and reliability the decisive factors heading into the September 6 race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 54%
Ferrari 48%
Tgr Haas 24%
Mclaren Mastercard 11%
Mercedes
54%
Ferrari
48%
Tgr Haas
24%
Mclaren Mastercard
11%
Alpine
11%
Red Bull
11%
Racing Bulls
11%
Aston Martin
13%
Cadillac
12%
Williams
27%
Audi Revolut
34%
Mercedes 54%
Ferrari 48%
Tgr Haas 24%
Mclaren Mastercard 11%
Mercedes
54%
Ferrari
48%
Tgr Haas
24%
Mclaren Mastercard
11%
Alpine
11%
Red Bull
11%
Racing Bulls
11%
Aston Martin
13%
Cadillac
12%
Williams
27%
Audi Revolut
34%
For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors’ standings with 379 points to Ferrari’s 307 after consistent race and sprint results from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, giving traders a 53% implied probability for the Italian Grand Prix win. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through an aggressive upgrade program featuring dozens of aerodynamic and power-unit changes, most recently challenging at recent rounds and positioning Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton as strong Monza contenders. The 48% price on Ferrari reflects its home-circuit strength at the high-speed Monza layout alongside ongoing development momentum. Lower probabilities for Audi, Williams, and others mirror their mid-pack points hauls and limited recent pace gains, leaving the top two teams’ form and reliability the decisive factors heading into the September 6 race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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