Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
OH-09 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$19,911 Vol.
$19,911 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
68%
Partito Repubblicano
28%
$19,911 Vol.
$19,911 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$169 Vol.
68%
Partito Repubblicano
$19,742 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$19,911Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,911Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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