Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following 2026 redistricting, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican due to a simulated partisan lean equivalent to a roughly 24-point Trump margin. Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick and independents face the same structural barriers that have produced consistent GOP general-election wins in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 93% Republican probability reflects these factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national swing in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$19,734 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,631 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following 2026 redistricting, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican due to a simulated partisan lean equivalent to a roughly 24-point Trump margin. Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick and independents face the same structural barriers that have produced consistent GOP general-election wins in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 93% Republican probability reflects these factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national swing in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,365Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following 2026 redistricting, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican due to a simulated partisan lean equivalent to a roughly 24-point Trump margin. Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick and independents face the same structural barriers that have produced consistent GOP general-election wins in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 93% Republican probability reflects these factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national swing in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,365Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following 2026 redistricting, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican due to a simulated partisan lean equivalent to a roughly 24-point Trump margin. Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, benefiting from name recognition and fundraising. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick and independents face the same structural barriers that have produced consistent GOP general-election wins in prior cycles. Trader consensus around 93% Republican probability reflects these factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or sharp national swing in voter sentiment could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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