Anthropic’s early September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 propelled its models to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Fable 5.1 posting the highest reported scores around 59–65% depending on the evaluation protocol. These releases emphasized advanced reasoning, tool integration, and knowledge work, widening Anthropic’s lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 variants and Meta’s Muse models, which trail in the mid-50s or lower. Traders are pricing in continued iterative gains through year-end, as frontier labs typically ship multiple updates annually, though exact resolution hinges on official closed-book or tool-assisted runs by December 31. Recent safety and enterprise-focused announcements from Anthropic have not slowed benchmark progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl punteggio più alto di Claude all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
Il punteggio più alto di Claude all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$111,551 Vol.
31 dic 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
38%
65%+
19%
70%+
12%
75%+
5%
$111,551 Vol.
55%+
$28,779 Vol.
86%
60%+
$48,181 Vol.
38%
65%+
$28,321 Vol.
19%
70%+
$4,458 Vol.
12%
75%+
$1,813 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s early September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 propelled its models to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Fable 5.1 posting the highest reported scores around 59–65% depending on the evaluation protocol. These releases emphasized advanced reasoning, tool integration, and knowledge work, widening Anthropic’s lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 variants and Meta’s Muse models, which trail in the mid-50s or lower. Traders are pricing in continued iterative gains through year-end, as frontier labs typically ship multiple updates annually, though exact resolution hinges on official closed-book or tool-assisted runs by December 31. Recent safety and enterprise-focused announcements from Anthropic have not slowed benchmark progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$111,551Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s early September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 propelled its models to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Fable 5.1 posting the highest reported scores around 59–65% depending on the evaluation protocol. These releases emphasized advanced reasoning, tool integration, and knowledge work, widening Anthropic’s lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 variants and Meta’s Muse models, which trail in the mid-50s or lower. Traders are pricing in continued iterative gains through year-end, as frontier labs typically ship multiple updates annually, though exact resolution hinges on official closed-book or tool-assisted runs by December 31. Recent safety and enterprise-focused announcements from Anthropic have not slowed benchmark progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$111,551Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s early September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 propelled its models to the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Fable 5.1 posting the highest reported scores around 59–65% depending on the evaluation protocol. These releases emphasized advanced reasoning, tool integration, and knowledge work, widening Anthropic’s lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 variants and Meta’s Muse models, which trail in the mid-50s or lower. Traders are pricing in continued iterative gains through year-end, as frontier labs typically ship multiple updates annually, though exact resolution hinges on official closed-book or tool-assisted runs by December 31. Recent safety and enterprise-focused announcements from Anthropic have not slowed benchmark progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto all’Ultimo Esame dell’Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 60%?
44%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello OpenAI nell'Ultimo Esame dell'Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
78%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello Meta all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà del 55% o superiore?
26%
Sì
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