OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads its lineup on Humanity's Last Exam at 49.5% accuracy, trailing Anthropic's top Claude variants near 55% as of mid-August 2026. Rapid iteration within the GPT-5 series, including specialized reasoning modes for coding, science, and cybersecurity, has driven incremental gains since the initial GPT-5 release in 2025, though benchmark saturation and expert-vetted questions continue to expose gaps in multi-step reasoning. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind models, alongside OpenAI's focus on safety-aligned training and efficiency improvements, shapes trader views on whether further 2026 updates could close the gap before year-end. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model previews remain key catalysts for score shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPunteggio OpenAI più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
Punteggio OpenAI più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$35,681 Vol.
31 dic 2026
50%+
86%
55%+
55%
60%+
33%
65% o più
10%
70% o più
6%
$35,681 Vol.
50%+
$6,129 Vol.
86%
55%+
$14,767 Vol.
55%
60%+
$9,805 Vol.
33%
65% o più
$2,908 Vol.
10%
70% o più
$2,072 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads its lineup on Humanity's Last Exam at 49.5% accuracy, trailing Anthropic's top Claude variants near 55% as of mid-August 2026. Rapid iteration within the GPT-5 series, including specialized reasoning modes for coding, science, and cybersecurity, has driven incremental gains since the initial GPT-5 release in 2025, though benchmark saturation and expert-vetted questions continue to expose gaps in multi-step reasoning. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind models, alongside OpenAI's focus on safety-aligned training and efficiency improvements, shapes trader views on whether further 2026 updates could close the gap before year-end. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model previews remain key catalysts for score shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volume
$35,681Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads its lineup on Humanity's Last Exam at 49.5% accuracy, trailing Anthropic's top Claude variants near 55% as of mid-August 2026. Rapid iteration within the GPT-5 series, including specialized reasoning modes for coding, science, and cybersecurity, has driven incremental gains since the initial GPT-5 release in 2025, though benchmark saturation and expert-vetted questions continue to expose gaps in multi-step reasoning. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind models, alongside OpenAI's focus on safety-aligned training and efficiency improvements, shapes trader views on whether further 2026 updates could close the gap before year-end. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model previews remain key catalysts for score shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$35,681Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads its lineup on Humanity's Last Exam at 49.5% accuracy, trailing Anthropic's top Claude variants near 55% as of mid-August 2026. Rapid iteration within the GPT-5 series, including specialized reasoning modes for coding, science, and cybersecurity, has driven incremental gains since the initial GPT-5 release in 2025, though benchmark saturation and expert-vetted questions continue to expose gaps in multi-step reasoning. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind models, alongside OpenAI's focus on safety-aligned training and efficiency improvements, shapes trader views on whether further 2026 updates could close the gap before year-end. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model previews remain key catalysts for score shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto all’Ultimo Esame dell’Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 60%?
68%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello Meta all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà del 55% o superiore?
44%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto da un modello Anthropic Claude all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
87%
Sì
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