Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 10 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 10 agosto?
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
77°F o inferiore
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o superiore
<1%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
77°F o inferiore
$145 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$428 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$104 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$100 Vol.
30%
84-85°F
$137 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$1,511 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$652 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$22 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$176 Vol.
1%
96°F o superiore
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$3,475Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,475Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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