Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 21 luglio?
29°C 47%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
47%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
24°C or below
$311 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$78 Vol.
1%
27°C
$162 Vol.
8%
28°C
$263 Vol.
29%
29°C
$4,671 Vol.
47%
30°C
$2,502 Vol.
13%
31°C
$443 Vol.
4%
32°C
$132 Vol.
2%
33°C
$269 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,244Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,244Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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