Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 17 luglio?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 11%
73°F o meno
8%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
82-83°F 11%
73°F o meno
8%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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