Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 16 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 16 luglio?
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 lug 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
41%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 lug 2026
25°C or below
$1,907 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$191 Vol.
1%
28°C
$286 Vol.
2%
29°C
$220 Vol.
16%
30°C
$803 Vol.
24%
31°C
$372 Vol.
41%
32°C
$583 Vol.
14%
33°C
$295 Vol.
6%
34°C
$500 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$697 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,186Data di fine
16 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,186Data di fine
16 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti