Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources point to a cool Atlantic-influenced air mass arriving ahead of July 14, with southeasterly winds and potential cloud cover suppressing daytime warming. Historical July maxima in Cape Town average near 17°C, yet recent days have shown variability tied to cold fronts, keeping trader focus on the 15–17°C range where odds cluster tightly. Key resolution factors include the official maximum recorded at standard stations, influenced by sea-surface temperatures around 15°C and minimal solar heating in mid-winter. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine whether a brief clear spell pushes the high toward 17°C or keeps it capped near 15–16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 14 luglio?
16°C 39%
15°C 32%
17°C 16%
14°C 12%
$13,164 Vol.
$13,164 Vol.
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
32%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C o superiore
2%
16°C 39%
15°C 32%
17°C 16%
14°C 12%
$13,164 Vol.
$13,164 Vol.
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
32%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources point to a cool Atlantic-influenced air mass arriving ahead of July 14, with southeasterly winds and potential cloud cover suppressing daytime warming. Historical July maxima in Cape Town average near 17°C, yet recent days have shown variability tied to cold fronts, keeping trader focus on the 15–17°C range where odds cluster tightly. Key resolution factors include the official maximum recorded at standard stations, influenced by sea-surface temperatures around 15°C and minimal solar heating in mid-winter. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine whether a brief clear spell pushes the high toward 17°C or keeps it capped near 15–16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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