Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on July 17 points to a modest high near the mid-90s, driving the leading 29.5% implied probability on 92-93°F amid scattered clouds and possible afternoon convection that limits full solar heating. Elevated uncertainty across the distribution arises from variable steering flows, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical July averages near 96°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—particularly in timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm initiation—keep outcomes from 88°F to the upper 90s viable. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon soundings tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 17 luglio?
92-93°F 32%
94-95°F 20%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
83°F o inferiore
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
3%
102°F o superiore
<1%
92-93°F 32%
94-95°F 20%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
83°F o inferiore
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
3%
102°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on July 17 points to a modest high near the mid-90s, driving the leading 29.5% implied probability on 92-93°F amid scattered clouds and possible afternoon convection that limits full solar heating. Elevated uncertainty across the distribution arises from variable steering flows, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical July averages near 96°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—particularly in timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm initiation—keep outcomes from 88°F to the upper 90s viable. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon soundings tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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