Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
33°C 45%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
45%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
27°C or below
$169 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$215 Vol.
1%
31°C
$690 Vol.
11%
32°C
$636 Vol.
29%
33°C
$866 Vol.
45%
34°C
$381 Vol.
14%
35°C
$222 Vol.
3%
36°C
$157 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$4,214Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,214Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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