Strong observational data from National Weather Service stations and model runs under a persistent high-pressure ridge with southerly flow drove the near-certain market consensus on a 94–95°F high for New York City on May 20. Afternoon temperatures reached 93.9°F at key reporting sites amid above-average moisture and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the first heat wave of the season that pushed readings 15–20°F above late-May climatological norms. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader sentiment reinforced by consistent guidance from multiple numerical weather models. Only an unexpected post-event station calibration adjustment or boundary-layer reanalysis could realistically shift the outcome into the 96–97°F range, though such revisions remain historically rare for this timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 20?
94-95°F 99.8%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
104°F or higher <1%
$58,702 Vol.
$58,702 Vol.
20 mag 2026
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 99.8%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
104°F or higher <1%
$58,702 Vol.
$58,702 Vol.
20 mag 2026
94-95°F
$8,601 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$9,361 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,502 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong observational data from National Weather Service stations and model runs under a persistent high-pressure ridge with southerly flow drove the near-certain market consensus on a 94–95°F high for New York City on May 20. Afternoon temperatures reached 93.9°F at key reporting sites amid above-average moisture and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the first heat wave of the season that pushed readings 15–20°F above late-May climatological norms. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader sentiment reinforced by consistent guidance from multiple numerical weather models. Only an unexpected post-event station calibration adjustment or boundary-layer reanalysis could realistically shift the outcome into the 96–97°F range, though such revisions remain historically rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$58,702Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong observational data from National Weather Service stations and model runs under a persistent high-pressure ridge with southerly flow drove the near-certain market consensus on a 94–95°F high for New York City on May 20. Afternoon temperatures reached 93.9°F at key reporting sites amid above-average moisture and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the first heat wave of the season that pushed readings 15–20°F above late-May climatological norms. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader sentiment reinforced by consistent guidance from multiple numerical weather models. Only an unexpected post-event station calibration adjustment or boundary-layer reanalysis could realistically shift the outcome into the 96–97°F range, though such revisions remain historically rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,702Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong observational data from National Weather Service stations and model runs under a persistent high-pressure ridge with southerly flow drove the near-certain market consensus on a 94–95°F high for New York City on May 20. Afternoon temperatures reached 93.9°F at key reporting sites amid above-average moisture and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the first heat wave of the season that pushed readings 15–20°F above late-May climatological norms. This positioning reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with trader sentiment reinforced by consistent guidance from multiple numerical weather models. Only an unexpected post-event station calibration adjustment or boundary-layer reanalysis could realistically shift the outcome into the 96–97°F range, though such revisions remain historically rare for this timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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