Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a post-heatwave cooldown for New York City on May 22, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-60s after a frontal passage brought cooler, cloudier conditions. This shift from the recent 90-plus readings stems from increased northerly flow, reduced solar heating under overcast skies, and typical late-spring variability in the Northeast. Ensemble guidance from NOAA exhibits modest spread around 61–67°F due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered near even for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings later today could refine these projections ahead of the market’s resolution on the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 22 maggio?
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
57°F o inferiore
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F o superiore
1%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
57°F o inferiore
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts show a post-heatwave cooldown for New York City on May 22, with model consensus favoring daily highs in the mid-60s after a frontal passage brought cooler, cloudier conditions. This shift from the recent 90-plus readings stems from increased northerly flow, reduced solar heating under overcast skies, and typical late-spring variability in the Northeast. Ensemble guidance from NOAA exhibits modest spread around 61–67°F due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered near even for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings later today could refine these projections ahead of the market’s resolution on the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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