Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots has become the dominant driver behind the market-implied 64% probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. What began as a planned eight-hour autonomous package-sorting shift using the Helix-02 neural network has now extended past 40 continuous hours with zero human interventions, as three units rotate seamlessly while processing tens of thousands of items at near-human speeds. This performance, backed by April’s 24x production ramp, over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours, and extensive stress testing with the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, has shifted trader consensus toward high mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty around gripper durability and battery management keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 38%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPer quanto tempo i robot F.03 di Figure funzioneranno senza guasti?
Per quanto tempo i robot F.03 di Figure funzioneranno senza guasti?
200h+ 64%
100-200h 34%
50-100h 5%
$72,617 Vol.
$72,617 Vol.
21 mag 2026
50-100h
5%
100-200h
34%
200h+
64%
200h+ 64%
100-200h 34%
50-100h 5%
$72,617 Vol.
$72,617 Vol.
21 mag 2026
50-100h
$4,651 Vol.
5%
100-200h
$2,753 Vol.
34%
200h+
$13,416 Vol.
64%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots has become the dominant driver behind the market-implied 64% probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. What began as a planned eight-hour autonomous package-sorting shift using the Helix-02 neural network has now extended past 40 continuous hours with zero human interventions, as three units rotate seamlessly while processing tens of thousands of items at near-human speeds. This performance, backed by April’s 24x production ramp, over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours, and extensive stress testing with the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, has shifted trader consensus toward high mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty around gripper durability and battery management keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 38%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$72,617Data di fine
21 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots has become the dominant driver behind the market-implied 64% probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. What began as a planned eight-hour autonomous package-sorting shift using the Helix-02 neural network has now extended past 40 continuous hours with zero human interventions, as three units rotate seamlessly while processing tens of thousands of items at near-human speeds. This performance, backed by April’s 24x production ramp, over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours, and extensive stress testing with the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, has shifted trader consensus toward high mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty around gripper durability and battery management keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 38%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,617Data di fine
21 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots has become the dominant driver behind the market-implied 64% probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. What began as a planned eight-hour autonomous package-sorting shift using the Helix-02 neural network has now extended past 40 continuous hours with zero human interventions, as three units rotate seamlessly while processing tens of thousands of items at near-human speeds. This performance, backed by April’s 24x production ramp, over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours, and extensive stress testing with the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, has shifted trader consensus toward high mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty around gripper durability and battery management keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 38%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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